The Joys Of Activist Investing

Ah, to be an activist investor. Push around executives, demand ‘shareholder friendly’ measures and all this while maintaining the flexibility of trading in and out of shares. After pushing hard for a breakup, Carl Icahn quickly rang the register on a chunk of his Motorola Mobility (MMI) stake shortly after its takeout announcement. Too much work? John Paulson just had to jump onto a conference call in order to send HIG‘s share price soaring [he has done some more work since though and I hope to write more about this one soon].

Another activist benefactor is Jana Partners, who recently sold 3.9 million shares of the Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) right after the stock jumped 10% on the announcement that it plans to pursue a spinoff of its pipeline operations. An idea pushed hard by Jana. The WSJ estimates the firm booked ~$44mm in gains. The fund still maintains a 4.5% stake in the company though and “intends to retain a significant interest” in Marathon. While some of these moves are likely just portfolio rebalancing, it must be nice to have that kind of power and flexibility.

Disclosure: Author holds no position in any stock mentioned.

Does Two Spins A Marathon Make?

Less than a year after being spun out of the Marathon Oil Corporation (MRO), the Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is pondering a spin of its own. Talk about moving quickly. Egged on by activist investor Jana Partners (who is also ‘prodding’ McGraw-Hill [MHP]), the company is considering setting up an master limited partnership (MLP) for its pipeline business in order to separate it from the company’s traditional refining operations. The news is somewhat surprising because as recently as November the company had indicated that it wasn’t interested in forming an MLP. Supposedly Jana told executives that new board members might be coming in if no changes are made…so that might have had something to do with the change of heart. One motivation behind the move is the belief that it will unlock additional shareholder value as midstream operations tend to trade at significantly higher multiples than refining businesses.

The refining business is tough and earnings can be very choppy, especially when compared to the almost bond-like midstream operations such as pipelines. That is precisely the reason why InvestorPlace’s Aaron Levitt thinks the MLP might be the more interesting opportunity. In fact, after the 10+% stock price jump post-spin (and $2b buyback) announcement, it is easy to forget that its recent earnings report was ugly and badly missed analyst’s expectations. Not everyone is down on refining though and some people think it makes for a good investment.

It will be interesting to see how these refining companies fare independently, without any other operations smoothing out earnings a bit. There might be a reason so many of these companies were integrated in the first place. Perhaps these moves could lead to industry consolidation? Time will tell, but if the company decides to move forward with an MLP it does not expect to complete a filing before the end of Q2. As always, we will keep you updated in the meantime.

Disclosure: Author holds no position in any stock mentioned.

 

The Spinoff Marathon Continues

Marathon Oil Tower, the headquarters of Marath...
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Another day, another spinoff. Marathon Oil (MRO) announced today that its Board of Directors has approved spinning off its downstream operations. The new company will be called the Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC – also its expected ticker) and will be one of the largest refiners in the United States with assets concentrated mainly in the Midwest, Gulf Coast and Southeast.  MRO will retain the company’s ‘upstream’ assets and will focus on exploration and production. The company will distribute one share of MPC for every two shares of Marathon held at a currently unknown record date, but the split is expected to be effective June 30, 2011.

It is always important to follow the debt involved in these transactions and both financing and debt arrangements have already been made for the new company. MPC plans on incurring $2.5-3b of new debt in order to begin with a cash balance of at least $750m. Additionally, the company has secured a $2b revolving credit facility from JPM and MS. MRO plans on reducing its LT debt by $2.5b. MRO currently pays a dividend of $1.00/share and both companies plan to maintain a quarterly payout. According to the press release, “MRO will pay an initial dividend of $0.15 per quarter or $0.60 per year (based on approximately 710 million shares outstanding) and MPC will pay $0.20 per quarter or $0.80 per year (based on an estimated 355 million shares outstanding).”

This transaction is not really all that surprising though, as Marathon has been considering this split for quite some time. It shelved its spinoff plans in 2008 due to the unfavorable market environment (I would say good move there), but according to CEO and President Clarence P. Cazalot, Jr., the time is now right due to “the substantial improvement in the global business and financial environments.” The rationale for the split has not changed and the company hopes the split enables each individual unit to be properly valued and judged versus its peers. The refining business typically has low margins, especially when compared to those of the exploration segments. So far, the reaction from the market has been positive and the stock is up over 8% as of this writing. Some other reasons mentioned by the company include the “enhanced flexibility to pursue tailored strategies [and] the strengthened ability to attract and retain talent.”

Much like ITT’s situation yesterday, the large gain in the stock price somewhat limits the opportunities to profit from the spin as the ‘unlocked value’ starts to get priced in, but this situation is certainly worth following. A conference call is scheduled for this morning to discuss the spinoff and we will keep you updated as more information is released.

It’s also interesting to note that much like ITT  with its history of spinoffs, Marathon spun off US Steel in 2002. Some companies just can’t stop breaking up.

Disclosure: Author holds no position in any stock mentioned.


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